Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.328178 0.440303 0.570507 0.730508 0.919462 1.133235 1.391052
2025-11-16 0.188800 0.323688 0.505292 0.756542 1.084115 1.486254 2.006456
2025-11-23 0.101615 0.231457 0.436208 0.753405 1.204241 1.795655 2.602921
2025-11-30 0.061950 0.187731 0.417139 0.807402 1.400027 2.215684 3.371267
2025-12-07 0.035282 0.148952 0.390661 0.840343 1.564886 2.603946 4.122109
2025-12-14 0.017932 0.114298 0.357095 0.851098 1.692673 2.945195 4.825410
2025-12-21 0.007358 0.082864 0.315322 0.835479 1.772377 3.217421 5.442282
2025-12-28 0.002938 0.064334 0.293300 0.849470 1.897782 3.560760 6.171588
2026-01-04 0.000817 0.048271 0.268452 0.850697 1.998261 3.868149 6.857875
2026-01-11 0.000067 0.032753 0.234023 0.822035 2.039856 4.082333 7.411532
2026-01-18 NaN 0.022086 0.206484 0.800852 2.090042 4.309360 7.989143
2026-01-25 NaN 0.015976 0.191231 0.805063 2.186855 4.614673 8.693524
2026-02-01 NaN 0.009481 0.164848 0.774396 2.214268 4.810261 9.243660
2026-02-08 NaN 0.007529 0.163216 0.812282 2.383836 5.254129 10.195853
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004876 0.150597 0.814493 2.478883 5.573649 10.961326
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004296 0.156156 0.874429 2.701022 6.122050 12.104270
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003282 0.154540 0.910790 2.874212 6.589922 13.128855
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002113 0.146306 0.922959 2.994592 6.967865 14.017009
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001028 0.131289 0.906828 3.049426 7.229540 14.722056
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000583 0.125267 0.921846 3.175901 7.624063 15.651498
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000255 0.116458 0.923251 3.269875 7.961091 16.492155
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000047 0.101295 0.892946 3.284923 8.151770 17.093824
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000002 0.089201 0.870524 3.316097 8.372222 17.748383